Zohran Mamdani, the Democratic nominee for New York City Mayor, is ahead of closest rival former Governor Andrew Cuomo by 28 points, according a new poll released on Tuesday.
Mamdani, a Queens state Assemblyman, widened his coalition to include more overall Jewish, LGBTQ+, college-educated Black voters and Black union household voters, the poll from Zenith Research and Public Progress Solutions found.
In addition, 68% of likely voters would not consider voting for New York City Mayor Adams; 60% would not consider voting for Cuomo; 59% would not consider voting for Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa; while 32% said they would not consider voting for Mamdani.
“With the current five candidates in the race, Mamdani holds a commanding 28-point lead over Cuomo, who splits the opposition with Sliwa and Adams. With a majority of voters saying they wouldn't even consider voting for Cuomo, Adams' net favorability being lower than Trump's, and Sliwa mired in the low teens, it's hard to see how anyone can put a serious scare into Mamdani in a split field,” Adam Carlson, founding partner of Zenith Research, said in a statement.
The poll surveyed 1,453 registered Democratic, Republican, and independent/unaffiliated voters from July 16 to 24, 2025. It featured 44 questions, including approximately a dozen that have not been asked in previous polls, and is also the first to have been offered in four languages - English, Spanish, Chinese (simplified) and Bangla. The poll is also the first to ask specific questions about Jewish denomination and Latino, South Asian, and East Asian ethnicity/national origin.
Cuomo is the strongest candidate against Mamdani, but for him to have any chance of winning, he’ll need Sliwa and Adams to drop out and to turn out moderate and conservative lower-propensity voters at very high rates, a summary of the poll noted.
The poll also found that Black voters were still up for grabs: 13% of Black voters over the age of 45, and 12% of Black women were said they remained undecided. About 12% of women over the age of 55 were also undecided; 10% of voters over 65; as well 8% of Latino voters from the Bronx, and Puerto Rican and Dominican voters.
"Forget the [Democratic National Committee's] post-mortem; these results are the blueprint for evolution to stave off extinction. The question is: “kyaa hum sun rahe hain?” Are we listening?” Amit Singh Bagga, founder and principal of Public Progress Solutions, said in a statement.
